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Release Archives | International Economic Indices October 2011
For Immediate Release
November 4, 2011
Contact: Cristi Allen
callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 817-640-6166
Decision Analyst’s Economic Indices for
the U.S., UK Strengthens in October
Arlington, Texas—The Decision Analyst U.S. Economic Index increased 5
points from 89 in September 2011 to 94 in October 2011. The UK Economic Index
increased 6 points from 75 in September 2011 to 81 in October 2011. The overall
pattern of the Index is suggesting continued economic stagnation for the balance
of 2011 and into the first half of 2012. The Decision Analyst Economic Indices
are leading indicators for their respective countries and tend to foreshadow overall
economic activity by 6 to 12 months in each respective country. Here is the U.S.
Economic Index for the past 3 years:
“The economy is showing some signs of life. Business activity and future
consumer purchase intentions for durable goods increased in October, while inflation
eased (with gasoline prices falling and food prices stabilizing). If inflation
rates remain moderate, the U.S. economy stands a good chance of avoiding a double-dip
recession, although economic growth will be modest at best,” said Jerry
W. Thomas, President/CEO of Decision Analyst. “A number of headwinds continue
to slow the U.S. economy: high unemployment, reductions in government spending
at all levels, and reluctance on the part of businesses to make major investments.
Uncertainty related to politics and budget problems in the U.S. and Europe is
the primary culprit.”
International Economic Indices
The graphs below compare the U.S. Economic Index to Decision Analyst’s
Economic Indices for other countries. In Europe, Germany and the Russian Federation
are tied for the highest score of 99, while France is at the bottom with a score
of 76. In South America, Brazil’s Index is 125 (a rapidly expanding economy)
and in Asia, China’s Index is 120.
The Decision Analyst Economic Indices for the individual countries for the past
10 years are below.
The Index numbers for Argentina, Australia, Chile, China, Colombia, Germany,
Mexico, Peru, the Russian Federation, and Spain are a 3-month moving average to
smooth out month-to-month fluctuations. The reported Index number averages the
current month with the 2 previous months.
Methodology
The Decision Analyst Economic Index is based on a monthly Internet survey of
several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The online
survey is conducted the last 10 days of each month. The Economic Index is calculated
from nine different economic measurements using a sophisticated econometric model.
The result is a snapshot of current economic activity in each country surveyed,
as seen through the eyes of representative consumers living in the respective
countries. Decision Analyst conducts its concurrent economic surveys each month
in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, France, Germany,
India, Italy, Mexico, Netherlands, Peru, the Russian Federation, Spain, United
Kingdom, United States, and Venezuela.
Whenever the Decision Analyst Economic Index is greater than 110, it tends
to signal an expanding economy. An Index value of 100 to 110 suggests a slow-growth
economy, and near or below 100 generally indicates economic contraction. These
guidelines vary by country, however.
About Decision Analyst
Decision Analyst (www.decisionanalyst.com) is a global marketing research and
analytical consulting firm specializing in strategy research, new product development,
advertising testing, and advanced modeling for marketing decision optimization.
For over 3 decades, the firm has delivered competitive advantage to clients
throughout the world in the consumer-packaged goods, telecommunications, retail,
technology, medical, and automotive industries.
For additional information contact:
Cristi Allen
Publicity
Email: callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 1-800-ANALYSIS (262-5974) or 1-817-640-6166
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011
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