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November 2010
For Immediate Release
December 6, 2010
Contact: Cristi Allen
callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 817-640-6166
Decision Analyst’s November 2010 U.S. Economic
Index Indicates Economic Growth
Arlington, Texas—The Decision Analyst U.S. Economic Index registered
99 in November 2010, an increase of 3 points from October. The trend in the
U.S. Economic Index over the past 20 months has been gradual improvement. Since
the U.S. Economic Index is a leading indicator (tending to foreshadow overall
economic activity by 6 to 12 months), the Index is forecasting a slowly expanding
U.S. economy for 2011. Here is the U.S. Economic Index for the past 3 years.

“The outlook for the U.S. economy continues to show modest improvement,”
according to Jerry W. Thomas, President/CEO of Decision Analyst. “The
manufacturing sector is improving, holiday spending is off to a solid start,
interest rates remain low, and most major corporations are making money. The
greatest risks to the U.S. economy are continued high unemployment, the foreclosure
problem, budget problems of all governmental entities, and the lack of credit
for small businesses. Since small businesses are so important in creating new
jobs, this lack of credit is retarding job creation,” said Thomas.
The table below compares the U.S. Economic Index to Decision Analyst’s
Economic Indices in other countries. Brazil has the highest Index score at 131,
while China follows close behind at a score of 128. France has the lowest score
at 79. In Europe the Russian Federation has the highest index at 112, followed
by Germany with a score of 109. In North America the United States is doing
better than Canada. (See table on below.)
Decision Analyst International Economic Indices
November 2010
| |
| North America |
Index |
| United States |
99 |
| Canada |
95 |
| Mexico* |
88 |
| Europe |
Index |
| France |
79 |
| Germany* |
109 |
| Italy |
91 |
| Russian Federation* |
112 |
| Spain* |
85 |
| United Kingdom |
86 |
|
| South America |
Index |
| Argentina* |
93 |
| Brazil |
131 |
| Chile* |
111 |
| Colombia* |
103 |
| Australia/Asia |
Index |
| Australia* |
98 |
| China* |
128 |
| India |
120 |
|
| |
*
The Index numbers for Argentina, Australia, Chile, China, Colombia,
Germany, Mexico, Russian Federation, and Spain are a three-month moving
average to smooth out month-to-month fluctuations. The reported Index
number averages the current month with the two previous months. |
The West North Central Division has the highest score at 100, while the East
South Central Division has the lowest score at 94. (See map below.)

Three-Month Moving Average
The Index numbers for Argentina, Australia, Chile, China, Colombia,
Germany, Mexico, Russian Federation, and Spain are a three-month moving average
to smooth out month-to-month fluctuations. The reported Index number averages
the current month with the two previous months.
Methodology
The Decision Analyst Economic Index is based on a monthly Internet survey of
several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The online
survey is conducted the last 10 days of each month. The Economic Index is calculated
from nine different economic measurements using a sophisticated econometric
model. The result is a snapshot of current economic activity in each country
surveyed, as seen through the eyes of representative consumers living in the
respective countries. Decision Analyst conducts its concurrent economic surveys
each month in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia,
France, Germany, India, Italy, Mexico, Netherlands, Peru, Russian Federation,
Spain, United Kingdom, United States, and Venezuela.
Whenever the Decision Analyst Economic Index is greater than 110, it tends
to signal an expanding economy. An Index value of 100 to 110 suggests a slow-growth
economy, and near or below 100 generally indicates economic contraction. These
guidelines vary by country, however.
About Decision Analyst
Decision Analyst (www.decisionanalyst.com) is a leading global marketing research
and analytical consulting firm specializing in advertising testing, strategy
research, new product development, and advanced modeling for marketing decision
optimization. The 32-year-old firm delivers competitive advantage to clients
throughout the world in the consumer packaged goods, telecommunications, retail,
technology, medical, and pharmaceutical industries. In addition, Decision Analyst
owns and operates American Consumer Opinion® Online—one of the largest
consumer opinion panels in the world—with more than eight million members.
For additional information contact:
Cristi Allen
Publicity
Email: callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 1-800-ANALYSIS (262-5974) or 1-817-640-6166
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011
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